Arkham Intelligence, a prominent blockchain analytics firm, introduced its native ARKM token in mid-2023. Following a significant downturn that led to an all-time low later that year, the token staged a recovery and achieved a new peak in March 2024. Despite the November 2024 launch of the platform’s perpetual exchange, ARKM has experienced a decline. As of March 20, 2025, the token is trading around $0.569.
This analysis delves into the token’s price history, examines expert forecasts, and explores the role of Arkham within the blockchain ecosystem.
Comprehensive Price Forecast for ARKM
Presented below are detailed price predictions for the ARKM token. It is crucial to remember that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and all forecasts should be treated as informed estimations rather than financial guarantees.
| Year | Minimum Price | Average Price | Maximum Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $0.50 | $1.20 | $2.50 |
| 2026 | $0.80 | $2.50 | $4.00 |
| 2030 | $2.00 | $5.00 | $10.00 |
2025 Price Outlook
The 2025 outlook for ARKM is shaped by its recent breakout from a descending wedge pattern and the potential development of a new bullish wave. Sustained momentum could propel the price toward the $2.50 target. However, a failure to maintain support above the critical $0.50 level may result in a prolonged period of consolidation.
2026 Price Projection
By 2026, ARKM may experience a more substantial bullish expansion, supported by a completed Elliott Wave cycle and a potential broader market uptrend. Favorable macroeconomic conditions and increased cryptocurrency adoption could push prices toward $4.00, while a weaker recovery might cap gains around the $2.50 mark.
Long-Term Vision for 2030
Long-term projections for 2030 factor in the potential for mainstream blockchain adoption and significant technological advancements. If ARKM mirrors the historical growth patterns of previous crypto cycles, it could reach a high of $10.00. A more conservative estimate places the average around $5.00, with a potential floor of $2.00 in the event of market downturns.
In-Depth Technical Analysis
A review of the daily chart for ARKM reveals a completed five-wave impulsive structure, followed by an extended WXY corrective pattern that established a bottom near the $0.50 region. This area aligns closely with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension level at $0.279, indicating a strong zone of accumulation.
The recent breakout from the descending wedge suggests a potential trend reversal, with immediate key resistance levels identified at $1.06 and $1.68. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has rebounded from oversold conditions, providing confirmation of renewed bullish momentum.
Short-Term Trading Outlook
The one-hour chart illustrates an emerging impulsive wave structure following the breakout. With waves one and two already formed, wave three could target $1.06 if the current momentum is sustained.
A corrective pullback in wave four is likely before a final push in wave five. Maintaining a price above the $0.50 support level is critical for the validity of this bullish outlook, with a move toward $1.68 representing a plausible mid-term target. A break below $0.50 would invalidate this setup. The 24-hour prediction is entirely dependent on holding this support level.
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Analyzing Volatility with Average True Range (ATR)
The Average True Range (ATR) is a key metric for assessing market volatility. It calculates the average of the largest values among: the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close, typically over a 14-day period.
A rising ATR indicates increasing market volatility, while a falling ATR suggests decreasing volatility. For accurate comparison across different assets, the ATR value is often normalized by dividing it by the asset's current price.
As of March 20, 2025, Arkham's ATR registered at 0.074, indicating a period of relatively high volatility for the token.
Momentum Assessment via Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions. Readings above 70 typically indicate overbought conditions, while readings below 30 suggest oversold conditions. Movement above and below the 50 centerline can also indicate bullish or bearish trend momentum.
On March 20, 2025, the Arkham RSI reading was 46, indicating slightly bearish market conditions at that time.
Understanding the CCN Strength Index
The CCN Strength Index is a proprietary tool that aggregates multiple advanced market signals to measure the strength of individual cryptocurrencies over a 30-day period. It assigns a daily score from 0 to 100 to the top 500 assets by market capitalization, focusing on both trend direction and price movement intensity.
- 0-24: Significant weakness, indicating sustained downtrend behavior
- 25-35: Stable price movement with minimal volatility
- 36-49: Beginning of a stable uptrend without strong surges
- 50-59: Consistent growth with moderate price advances
- 60+: Sharp price movements indicating high demand and strong volatility
The index dynamically adapts to rapid market changes. Sharp price increases or decreases cause immediate score adjustments, which then gradually normalize as volatility decreases and the new price level stabilizes.
On March 20, 2025, Arkham scored 29.7 on the CCN Index, suggesting weak momentum and stable, range-bound trading behavior.
Comparative Performance Analysis
As an analytics and perpetuals token built on the Ethereum blockchain, it's informative to compare ARKM's performance against similar tokens and ETH itself over the past year.
| Asset | Current Price | Price One Year Ago | Percentage Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARKM | $0.569 | $2.73 | -79.1% |
| GRT | $0.097 | $0.407 | -76.1% |
| WOO | $0.087 | $0.455 | -80.9% |
| ETH | $1,980 | $3,534 | -43.9% |
Optimal Trading Periods for ARKM
Historical price data analysis reveals patterns that may indicate favorable times for acquiring ARKM.
| Time Period | Optimal Timing |
|---|---|
| Day of Week | Wednesday |
| Week of Year | Week 16 |
| Month | February |
| Quarter | First Quarter |
Historical Price Context
Understanding ARKM's price history provides valuable context for interpreting current predictions and future potential. While past performance never guarantees future results, historical data offers insight into token behavior under various market conditions.
| Time Period | ARKM Price |
|---|---|
| Last Week (March 13, 2025) | $0.5388 |
| Last Month (February 20, 2025) | $0.6752 |
| Three Months Ago (December 20, 2024) | $1.59 |
| One Year Ago (March 20, 2024) | $2.73 |
| Launch Price (July 19, 2023) | $0.6544 |
| All-Time High (March 10, 2024) | $3.99 |
| All-Time Low (October 19, 2023) | $0.2869 |
Market Capitalization Overview
Market capitalization represents the total value of all circulating tokens multiplied by the current price. As of March 20, 2025, Arkham's market cap stood at approximately $128 million, ranking it as the 287th largest cryptocurrency by this metric.
Major Token Holders
Significant concentration exists within ARKM's holder distribution. As of March 20, 2025, a single wallet controlled more than 20% of the total token supply.
Largest ARKM Wallet Addresses
The five wallets holding the largest amounts of ARKM as of March 20, 2025, were:
- 0xd6abb...40165: 220,093,386 ARKM (22.01% of supply)
- 0x90423...83914: 154,069,276 ARKM (15.41% of supply)
- 0xf9778...acec (Binance): 124,935,732 ARKM (12.49% of supply)
- 0x08503...8918d: 26,250,002 ARKM (2.63% of supply)
- 0x20c9c...8b0a: 18,631,351 ARKM (1.86% of supply)
Supply Distribution Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Maximum Supply | 1,000,000,000 ARKM |
| Circulating Supply (March 20, 2025) | 225,100,000 ARKM (22.51%) |
| Holder Distribution | Top 10 holders controlled 60.83% of supply |
Understanding the Arkham Platform
According to its technical documentation, Arkham describes itself as "a crypto intelligence platform that systematically analyzes and deanonymizes blockchain transactions, showing users the people and companies behind blockchain activity, along with data and analytics about their behavior."
Founded in 2020 by crypto entrepreneur Miguel Morel, Arkham Intelligence provides blockchain analytics services that help users understand on-chain activities and identify entities behind transactions. The platform's native token, ARKM, launched publicly in 2023.
It's important to note that as an Ethereum-based token, ARKM is properly classified as a token rather than a coin, despite some common mislabeling in the market.
Platform Functionality
The ARKM token serves multiple purposes within the Arkham ecosystem. It facilitates transaction payments on the network, can be staked to earn rewards, and is available for trading on various cryptocurrency exchanges.
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Investment Considerations
Current market conditions make definitive investment recommendations challenging. Like much of the cryptocurrency market, ARKM has experienced a significant downturn recently. Additionally, some blockchain enthusiasts express concerns about the platform's mission to reduce privacy in Web3 finance, which could impact adoption.
As with any cryptocurrency investment, thorough independent research is essential before committing funds. Investors should consider not only ARKM but also related assets like Ethereum (ETH) and the broader market context. Most importantly, never invest more than you can afford to lose.
Price Direction Uncertainty
While the predictions outlined in this analysis are generally positive, cryptocurrency price predictions have a well-documented history of inaccuracy. Markets can move in either direction unexpectedly, and investors should prepare for both possibilities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current circulating supply of ARKM?
As of March 20, 2025, there were 225.1 million ARKM tokens in circulation from a total maximum supply of 1 billion tokens.
Can ARKM reach $10 in the future?
Based on our technical analysis and long-term projections, ARKM has the potential to reach $10 by 2030 under optimal market conditions and broader cryptocurrency adoption.
What are the primary uses of the ARKM token?
The ARKM token serves three main purposes: facilitating transactions on the Arkham Intelligence network, staking to earn rewards, and trading on various cryptocurrency exchanges.
How does Arkham Intelligence work?
Arkham Intelligence operates as a blockchain analytics platform that uses advanced algorithms to analyze and deanonymize blockchain transactions. It provides users with data about the entities behind wallet addresses and their on-chain activities.
What factors could negatively impact ARKM's price?
Key risk factors include failure to maintain critical support levels, broader cryptocurrency market downturns, regulatory challenges facing blockchain analytics, and community resistance to reduced transaction privacy.
Where can I learn more about technical analysis for cryptocurrencies?
Many educational resources exist for learning technical analysis. Explore more strategies for conducting your own market research and analysis.