Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Discounts Hit Record Highs: Evolution and ETF Hopes

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The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), a flagship cryptocurrency investment product from Grayscale Investments, has seen its discount to net asset value (NAV) reach a record high of 35.26%, according to recent market data. Similarly, the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (EETH) is trading at a discount of 28.08%. These widening discounts come amid prolonged delays in Grayscale’s efforts to convert these trusts into spot Bitcoin ETFs—a move many investors had hoped would improve liquidity and narrow the valuation gap.

Grayscale holds substantial amounts of cryptocurrency, with approximately 635,000 BTC and 3.06 million ETH under management. To put this into perspective, this is significantly larger than the holdings of high-profile public companies like MicroStrategy, which currently possesses around 130,000 Bitcoin. Historically, the unlocking of GBTC shares has often been used by traders as an indicator of market sentiment and potential selling pressure.

Understanding Grayscale’s Role in Crypto Institutional Investment

Grayscale Investments is a leading digital currency asset manager, established in 2013. The company offers a suite of cryptocurrency investment products designed to give U.S. accredited investors exposure to digital assets through traditional financial markets in a regulated structure. Prominent institutional investors, including Ark Invest and Three Arrows Capital, have utilized products like GBTC to gain Bitcoin exposure.

Why Choose GBTC Over Direct Bitcoin Ownership?

GBTC was initially offered through private placements available only to accredited investors in the United States. A review of its shareholder records reveals a significant concentration of institutional ownership. Many traditional investment firms face regulatory restrictions that prevent them from holding cryptocurrencies directly. For these entities, regulated trusts like GBTC provide a compliant entry point into the crypto market.

The trust operates by holding physical Bitcoin, meaning it does not employ leverage or Bitcoin futures contracts. Beyond custody and management, Grayscale handles regulatory compliance, reporting, financial statements, and other functions typical of publicly traded investment vehicles.

After receiving approval from the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), GBTC began trading publicly on the OTCQX market. This allows retail investors to purchase shares through standard brokerage accounts, bypassing the need to create cryptocurrency wallets or open accounts on crypto exchanges. Many U.S. investors also use retirement accounts, such as 401(k) plans, to buy GBTC, benefiting from potential tax advantages.

The Push for ETF Conversion: Why It Matters

Grayscale has submitted multiple applications to convert GBTC into a spot Bitcoin ETF, all of which have been rejected by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) so far. But why is conversion so important?

While GBTC operates similarly to a commodity-based exchange-traded product (like a gold ETF), an ETF structure would offer several key advantages:

  1. Listing on a national securities exchange like NYSE Arca.
  2. Implementation of a synchronous creation/redemption mechanism.
  3. Enablement of arbitrage by Authorized Participants (APs), helping to keep the share price closely aligned with NAV.

The persistent discount of GBTC to its underlying Bitcoin holdings has been a major concern for investors. An ETF structure, with its in-kind creation/redemption process, would allow APs to exchange Bitcoin directly for ETF shares (and vice versa), thereby arbitraging away the discount and aligning the market price more closely with the actual asset value.

Grayscale has also indicated that it plans to reduce management fees upon conversion to an ETF. Existing GBTC shareholders would not need to take any action, as their shares would automatically convert to the new ETF format.

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Why Are Futures-Based ETFs Approved But Not Spot ETFs?

The SEC has consistently rejected spot Bitcoin ETF applications, citing concerns over market manipulation and investor protection. The regulatory body requires that such products meet the standards of the Securities Exchange Act, particularly regarding the prevention of fraudulent practices.

To date, the SEC has approved only Bitcoin futures-based ETFs. These products derive their value from Bitcoin futures contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), which falls under the regulatory purview of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Supporters of a spot ETF argue that the futures market is ultimately based on the spot market anyway, making the distinction less meaningful.

Grayscale’s initial structure may have been designed to navigate around SEC regulations, but since 2020, the company has taken steps to become an SEC reporting company for several of its products. Many industry observers believe that converting to an ETF would enhance investor protection by offering more efficient price discovery, improved liquidity, and safer access to cryptocurrency investments.

Grayscale has engaged former U.S. Solicitor General Donald B. Verrilli to lead a legal challenge requesting a review of the SEC’s decision. The outcome of this effort is being closely watched, as it could set a precedent for the broader financial industry’s adoption of digital asset products.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC)?
GBTC is a publicly traded trust that holds Bitcoin. It allows investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin’s price movement without having to buy or store the cryptocurrency directly. Shares are traded on the OTCQX market under the ticker GBTC.

Why is GBTC trading at a discount to its net asset value?
The discount exists primarily because GBTC shares cannot be redeemed. Unlike an ETF, there is no arbitrage mechanism to keep the market price aligned with the value of the underlying Bitcoin. Market sentiment, demand dynamics, and competition from other products also influence the discount.

How would converting to an ETF help reduce the GBTC discount?
An ETF allows authorized participants to create and redeem shares in exchange for the underlying asset (Bitcoin). This arbitrage process helps minimize deviations from NAV, potentially eliminating the persistent discount seen with the current trust structure.

What is the difference between a futures Bitcoin ETF and a spot Bitcoin ETF?
A futures-based ETF holds Bitcoin futures contracts, while a spot ETF holds actual Bitcoin. Futures ETFs are subject to roll costs and may not track Bitcoin’s price as closely as a spot ETF would.

Can retail investors buy GBTC?
Yes, GBTC shares are available to any investor through a standard brokerage account since they trade on an OTC market. Unlike the private placement version, the public shares do not require accredited investor status.

What are the risks of investing in GBTC?
Key risks include high management fees, price volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and the potential for the discount to NAV to persist or widen. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance.


Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. The value of investments can fluctuate dramatically, and investors may lose their entire principal. Always exercise caution and perform due diligence before making investment decisions.